Skip to content

The CDC Predicts Deaths Will Soar in These 5 States

Things are about to go from bad to worse in these problem areas.

As coronavirus cases continue to surge across the country, so does the expected fatality rate. According to the latest CDC statistics released on Friday, weekly reports of new COVID-19 deaths may increase over the next month, with the governmental health organization predicting 5,000 to 11,000 new deaths during the week ending August 22, in which case the death toll of the pandemic will be somewhere between 168,000 and 182,000. The CDC also warned that these five states and one United States territory are going to experience fatality spikes. Click through to see which ones, and to get through this pandemic at your healthiest, don't miss these 21 Signs You've Already Had Coronavirus.



Montgomery, Alabama, USA fountain and downtown cityscape.

The state of Alabama is currently experiencing 39.1 new daily cases per 100,000 people. 

On Thursday they reported 1,923 new positives, up from 1,263 cases the previous day. Their dismal situation led their Gov. Kay Ivey to extend current restrictions, including a statewide mask order, for four weeks until August 31. "These decisions are not easy, and they're certainly not fun," Ivey said at a press conference on Wednesday. "There's no way in the world you ever can make everyone happy 100 percent of the time. But one thing is for sure. Tough decisions are a lot easier to make when you're on the sidelines than when you are actually in the arena."



Aerial of Chattanooga Tennessee TN Skyline

On Wednesday, Dr. Anthony Fauci warned that Tennessee, currently seeing 2,391 cases per day, is one of four states where a major coronavirus outbreak is inevitable, due to increasing positivity rates. "That's a surefire sign that you've got to be really careful," Fauci told Good Morning America.



Horse Farm, Kentucky Bluegrass

Kentucky was one of the four states Fauci mentioned that could be in danger of a major outbreak. On Thursday Gov. Beshear reported 659 new COVID-19 cases—their fifth highest single-day total—totaling 29,386 cases since the start of the pandemic. There were also 7 deaths, bringing their death toll up to 731, 587 people hospitalized and 110 people in the ICU. Their positivity rate is 5.66 percent. 


New Jersey

Newark, New Jersey, USA skyline on the Passaic River.

After successfully keeping infection rates down for three months, New Jersey has experienced a surge of cases. On Friday Gov. Phil Murphy admitted that the Garden State is "standing in a very dangerous place," revealing that their transmission rate—currently at 1.35—is higher than when hospitalizations peaked in April and will likely continue to climb. He attributes the increase to a rise of indoor house parties and people failing to wear masks and follow social distancing guidelines. "Look, the numbers are setting off alarms that we take very seriously. We may still be among the leaders in having lower case numbers and daily positivity rates, but we are standing in a very dangerous place. The alarms are going off," he said during his regular briefing. "The only way to silence these alarms and get back to the process of moving forward is for everyone to take them seriously. We are not past this. Everyone who walks around refusing to wear a mask, or who hosts a house party is directly contributing to these increases. This has to stop, and it has to stop now."


Puerto Rico

San Juan, Puerto Rico Caribbean coast along Paseo de la Princesa.

After declining cases, Puerto Rico's recent surge of infections—up 81 percent from two weeks ago—is concerning to experts. On Thursday, at least 3 new coronavirus deaths and 511 new cases were reported in Puerto Rico, with a weekly average of 443 cases per day. In total there have been 16,781 cases and 219 deaths on the island. 



Seattle skyline at sunset, WA, USA

On Thursday, Washington health officials reported 825 new COVID-19 cases, bringing their total to over 55,000. There were also 94 additional hospitalizations and 16 more deaths from the deadly virus. State officials maintain that over the last two weeks, the highest rates of COVID-19 have occurred in those 20 to 24 years of age. In hopes of slowing the spread, the state mandated new dining restrictions, starting Thursday, prohibiting the serving of alcohol at restaurants and bars after 10 p.m. and also preventing more than five people per table—all who must be from the same household—in Phase 3 counties. 


Stay Safe in Your State

woman put on a fabric handmade mask on her face

As for yourself, avoid catching COVID-19: wear your face mask, get tested if you think you have coronavirus, avoid crowds (and bars, and house parties), practice social distancing, only run essential errands, wash your hands regularly, disinfect frequently touched surfaces, and to get through this pandemic at your healthiest, don't miss these 37 Places You're Most Likely to Catch Coronavirus.

Leah Groth
Leah Groth has decades of experience covering all things health, wellness and fitness related. Read more about Leah
Filed Under